The National Center for Meteorology (NCM), Saudi Arabia’s official weather authority, has issued its forecast for Thursday, August 20, 2026, warning of thunderstorms accompanied by hail and gusty winds across parts of Jazan, Aseer, and Al-Baha regions, extending to sections of the highlands of Makkah Region. The bulletin, released through the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), also indicates that thunderclouds are likely to form over the southern parts of the Eastern and Riyadh regions, while gusty, dust-stirring winds are expected in parts of the Northern Borders, Qassim, Riyadh, and Najran regions. In some areas of the Eastern Region and along the coastal stretches of Madinah and Makkah, horizontal visibility could fall to near zero. Have you ever considered how closely the Kingdom monitors its skies to keep millions of residents and pilgrims safe each day?
The forecast reflects the NCM’s continuous, round-the-clock monitoring of atmospheric conditions across the Kingdom, a service that has become increasingly precise as Saudi Arabia invests in advanced meteorological technology and regional cooperation. Thursday’s outlook covers the Red Sea and the Arabian Gulf, where winds and wave conditions are detailed for mariners and coastal communities. According to the NCM, winds over the Red Sea will be northwesterly to westerly at speeds of 15–50 km/h in the southern part, with waves ranging from half a meter to over two meters and sea conditions varying from calm to choppy. In the Arabian Gulf, winds will be northwesterly to westerly at 20–45 km/h in the northern and central parts, and northeasterly to northwesterly at 10–32 km/h in the southern part, with waves of half a meter to two meters and a relatively calm sea.
Context and Background
Why does Saudi Arabia place such emphasis on daily weather bulletins? The answer lies in the Kingdom’s vast geography and its role as host to millions of residents, travelers, and religious visitors. The National Center for Meteorology, established under the Ministry of Environment, Water and Agriculture, is the authoritative source for weather data in Saudi Arabia. Its daily forecasts are disseminated through the Saudi Press Agency and other official channels, ensuring that government agencies, emergency services, airlines, and the public receive consistent, verified information. The NCM operates a network of weather stations, radar systems, and satellite feeds that cover everything from the Red Sea coast to the Empty Quarter.
Thursday’s forecast is particularly significant because it affects regions that are both populous and economically vital. Jazan, Aseer, and Al-Baha are known for their mountainous terrain and agricultural output, where sudden thunderstorms and hail can impact farming communities and road safety. The highlands of Makkah Region include areas that attract tourists and pilgrims throughout the year. Meanwhile, the Eastern Region is home to major oil facilities and industrial cities, making accurate wind and visibility forecasts essential for aviation, maritime operations, and energy infrastructure. The NCM’s ability to predict dust-stirring winds and reduced visibility helps authorities take precautionary measures well in advance.
The Kingdom’s meteorological services have expanded significantly in recent years, aligning with Vision 2030’s goals of enhancing public safety, smart governance, and quality of life. Advanced modeling and data-sharing agreements with international meteorological organizations have improved the accuracy of forecasts for extreme weather events, including the thunderstorms and dust storms common in the Arabian Peninsula. As climate patterns shift, the NCM’s role in safeguarding lives and livelihoods continues to grow. Isn’t it reassuring to know that such detailed, science-based information is made freely available to everyone?
Key Details of Thursday’s Forecast
The NCM bulletin breaks down Thursday’s weather into distinct regional patterns. In the southwest, thunderstorms with hail and gusty winds are expected over parts of Jazan, Aseer, and Al-Baha, extending into the highlands of Makkah Region. These conditions are typical of summer convective activity, where intense daytime heating triggers towering cumulonimbus clouds. Residents and travelers in these areas should be prepared for sudden downpours, lightning, and localized flash flooding in valleys and low-lying areas. The NCM advises caution on mountain roads, where visibility can drop rapidly and rockfalls are possible.
In the central and eastern parts of the country, the picture is different but equally noteworthy. Thunderclouds are likely to form over the southern parts of the Eastern and Riyadh regions, bringing isolated showers and gusty winds. Meanwhile, dust-stirring winds are forecast for parts of the Northern Borders, Qassim, Riyadh, and Najran regions. These winds can lift fine sand and dust into the air, reducing air quality and creating hazardous driving conditions. In parts of the Eastern Region and along the coastal areas of Madinah and Makkah, horizontal visibility may fall to near zero at times, a phenomenon that requires drivers to exercise extreme caution and use fog lights when necessary.
Maritime conditions are also detailed in the bulletin. Over the Red Sea, the southern part will experience northwesterly to westerly winds at 15–50 km/h, with wave heights from half a meter to over two meters. The sea state will range from calm to choppy, which means small vessels should monitor updates closely. In the Arabian Gulf, winds will be northwesterly to westerly at 20–45 km/h in the northern and central parts, and northeasterly to northwesterly at 10–32 km/h in the southern part. Waves will range from half a meter to two meters, and the sea will be relatively calm. These details are vital for fishermen, commercial shipping, and recreational boaters alike.
International and Regional Impact
How do Saudi Arabia’s weather forecasts resonate beyond its borders? The Kingdom’s meteorological data is shared with regional and international partners, contributing to a broader understanding of weather patterns across the Arabian Peninsula and the Red Sea corridor. The Red Sea is one of the world’s busiest maritime routes, and accurate wind and wave forecasts are essential for the safety of commercial vessels, including oil tankers and container ships. The NCM’s bulletins are integrated into global weather models, helping neighboring countries in the Gulf and the Horn of Africa prepare for similar conditions. This cooperation reflects Saudi Arabia’s commitment to regional stability and environmental stewardship.
For international travelers, the forecast is a reminder of the importance of checking local weather updates before venturing into desert or mountainous areas. Saudi Arabia’s tourism sector, a key pillar of Vision 2030, welcomes millions of visitors each year, and their safety is a top priority. The NCM’s clear, timely warnings allow tour operators and hospitality providers to adjust plans and ensure that guests enjoy the Kingdom’s natural beauty responsibly. Whether exploring the Asir mountains or cruising the Red Sea coast, visitors can rely on official guidance to make informed decisions. Doesn’t that level of preparedness enhance confidence in traveling across the Kingdom?
Economic and Strategic Significance
What does a weather forecast have to do with a nation’s economy? In Saudi Arabia, the connection is direct and significant. The Eastern Region, which may see thunderclouds and reduced visibility, is the heart of the Kingdom’s oil and gas industry. Dust storms and high winds can disrupt operations at ports, refineries, and airports, leading to delays and increased costs. By providing precise forecasts, the NCM enables companies to implement safety protocols, secure equipment, and schedule maintenance during favorable windows. This proactive approach protects both workers and infrastructure, reinforcing the reliability of Saudi energy exports to global markets.
Agriculture is another sector that depends heavily on weather intelligence. In Jazan, Aseer, and Al-Baha, farmers grow coffee, fruit, and other crops that are sensitive to hail and flash flooding. Early warnings allow them to harvest early or protect their fields, reducing losses. The Kingdom’s food security goals under Vision 2030 are supported by such climate-smart practices. Additionally, the construction and transportation sectors use NCM data to plan work schedules, ensuring that projects like NEOM and the Red Sea development proceed safely and efficiently. The economic value of accurate forecasting, while difficult to quantify precisely, is immense and far-reaching.
Vision 2030 Alignment
How does a daily weather bulletin connect to Saudi Arabia’s long-term transformation? Vision 2030 aims to diversify the economy, improve quality of life, and build a world-class public sector. The National Center for Meteorology embodies these goals by delivering essential services that protect lives, support economic activity, and enhance the Kingdom’s resilience to natural hazards. Investments in meteorological infrastructure, including advanced radar and satellite systems, are part of a broader push to leverage technology for public good. The NCM’s work also supports the growth of tourism, aviation, and maritime industries, all of which rely on dependable weather information.
As Saudi Arabia continues to open its doors to the world, the importance of reliable, science-based weather forecasting will only increase. The NCM’s Thursday forecast is a small but vital example of how the Kingdom uses data and innovation to serve its people and visitors. By sharing this information openly through official channels like the Saudi Press Agency, Saudi Arabia demonstrates its commitment to transparency, safety, and international cooperation. Whether you are a resident, a pilgrim, or a business traveler, you can trust that the Kingdom is watching the skies on your behalf, in line with the ambitious and forward-looking spirit of Vision 2030.
20 Questions
Q1. What regions are expected to experience thunderstorms on Thursday?
A1. According to the National Center for Meteorology, thunderstorms with hail and gusty winds are forecast for parts of Jazan, Aseer, and Al-Baha regions, extending to parts of the highlands of Makkah Region.
Q2. Where are thunderclouds likely to form in the central and eastern areas?
A2. Thunderclouds are likely to form over the southern parts of the Eastern and Riyadh regions, bringing isolated showers and gusty winds to those areas.
Q3. Which regions will experience dust-stirring winds?
A3. Gusty, dust-stirring winds are expected in parts of the Northern Borders, Qassim, Riyadh, and Najran regions, which may reduce air quality and visibility.
Q4. What is the expected visibility in the Eastern Region and coastal areas?
A4. In parts of the Eastern Region and along the coastal parts of Madinah and Makkah regions, horizontal visibility may drop to near zero due to blowing dust.
Q5. What are the wind conditions over the Red Sea on Thursday?
A5. Winds over the Red Sea will be northwesterly to westerly at speeds of 15-50 km/h in the southern part, with waves ranging from half a meter to over two meters.
Q6. What is the sea state expected in the Red Sea?
A6. The sea over the Red Sea will be calm to choppy, according to the National Center for Meteorology’s forecast for Thursday.
Q7. What are the wind conditions in the Arabian Gulf?
A7. In the Arabian Gulf, winds will be northwesterly to westerly at 20-45 km/h in the northern and central parts, and northeasterly to northwesterly at 10-32 km/h in the southern part.
Q8. What wave heights are expected in the Arabian Gulf?
A8. Waves in the Arabian Gulf will range from half a meter to two meters, and the sea will be relatively calm, according to the official forecast.
Q9. Which authority issued this weather forecast?
A9. The forecast was issued by the National Center for Meteorology, Saudi Arabia’s official meteorological authority, and was published through the Saudi Press Agency.
Q10. What does the National Center for Meteorology do?
A10. The National Center for Meteorology monitors atmospheric conditions, issues weather warnings, and provides forecasts to protect lives, property, and economic activities across the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Q11. How can residents prepare for reduced visibility?
A11. Residents should drive with caution, use fog lights if necessary, reduce speed, and avoid unnecessary travel in areas where visibility may fall to near zero.
Q12. What should mariners do given the sea conditions?
A12. Mariners should monitor updates from the National Center for Meteorology, ensure vessels are secure, and exercise caution, especially in the Red Sea where choppy conditions are expected.
Q13. Are the thunderstorms typical for this time of year?
A13. Yes, summer convective thunderstorms are common in the southwestern highlands of Saudi Arabia due to intense daytime heating and moisture from the Red Sea.
Q14. How does this forecast affect agriculture in Jazan and Aseer?
A14. Farmers in Jazan and Aseer may need to protect crops from hail and flash flooding. Early warnings help them take preventive measures to reduce potential losses.
Q15. Does the forecast impact aviation in Saudi Arabia?
A15. Yes, dust-stirring winds and reduced visibility can affect flight operations. Airlines and airports use NCM data to adjust schedules and ensure passenger safety.
Q16. What role does the Saudi Press Agency play in sharing weather news?
A16. The Saudi Press Agency is the official national news agency that disseminates verified information from government sources, including the National Center for Meteorology, to the public and media.
Q17. How does the NCM use technology to improve forecasts?
A17. The NCM uses advanced radar, satellite imagery, and computer models, along with international data-sharing, to produce accurate and timely weather forecasts for the Kingdom.
Q18. What is the significance of the Red Sea forecast for international shipping?
A18. The Red Sea is a vital global shipping route. Accurate wind and wave forecasts help commercial vessels navigate safely, protecting cargo, crews, and the environment.
Q19. How does this weather bulletin align with Vision 2030?
A19. Vision 2030 emphasizes public safety, quality of life, and technological innovation. The NCM’s reliable forecasts support these goals by protecting communities and enabling economic activities.
Q20. Where can the public find official weather updates?
A20. Official weather updates are available through the National Center for Meteorology’s website and the Saudi Press Agency, ensuring the public receives accurate and timely information.
Reader Feedback
We value your thoughts. Please share your feedback on this article.
Your feedback helps us improve our coverage.