Tuesday, October 13, 2026
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NCM Forecasts Rising Temperatures and Thunderstorms Across Saudi Arabia

NCM Forecasts Rising Temperatures and Thunderstorms Across Saudi Arabia

The National Center for Meteorology (NCM) has issued its weather forecast for Thursday, indicating rising temperatures across the Eastern Region, including parts of Riyadh and Qassim, alongside dust-stirring winds in the Makkah region and potential thunderstorms in Najran, Jazan, Asir, and Al-Baha. The report, released via the Saudi Press Agency (SPA), provides detailed insights into surface wind patterns over the Red Sea and the Arabian Gulf, assisting residents and authorities in planning for the day’s conditions. This forecast underscores the NCM’s commitment to delivering timely and accurate meteorological information to safeguard public safety and support various sectors across the Kingdom.

Context and Background

The National Center for Meteorology is the official authority responsible for monitoring and forecasting weather conditions in Saudi Arabia. Operating under the Ministry of Environment, Water, and Agriculture, the NCM plays a vital role in disseminating critical weather data to the public, government agencies, and private sectors. Its daily forecasts are essential for sectors such as aviation, maritime navigation, agriculture, and public health, enabling proactive measures to mitigate risks associated with extreme weather events. The latest report, issued on July 11, 2024, highlights the typical summer weather patterns affecting the Kingdom, characterized by high temperatures and localized atmospheric instability.

Key Details

According to the NCM, the Eastern Region, including parts of Riyadh and Qassim, will experience rising temperatures, with hot conditions expected throughout the day. In the Makkah region, dust-stirring winds are forecast, particularly along the coastal road to Jazan, which may reduce visibility and affect travel. Additionally, potential thunderstorms accompanied by strong winds are anticipated in some areas of Najran, Jazan, Asir, and Al-Baha regions. These conditions could lead to flash flooding in low-lying areas and pose challenges for outdoor activities.

The report also detailed surface wind movements: in the Red Sea, winds will be northeasterly to northwesterly at speeds of 15-30 km/h, while in the Arabian Gulf, they will be northwesterly to northerly at the same speed range. These wind patterns are crucial for maritime operations, influencing wave heights and sailing conditions. The NCM advises fishermen and sailors to exercise caution and stay updated on the latest forecasts.

Implications and Impact

The forecast has significant implications for various sectors and the general public. In the Eastern Region, the rising temperatures may increase energy demand for cooling, while dust-stirring winds in Makkah could impact visibility and air quality, particularly for those with respiratory conditions. The potential thunderstorms in the southwestern regions raise concerns about flash floods, which can disrupt transportation and damage infrastructure. Local authorities are likely to be on alert, with emergency services prepared to respond to any incidents. The detailed wind data for the Red Sea and Arabian Gulf is invaluable for maritime activities, ensuring the safety of vessels and crew. Overall, the NCM’s timely information empowers individuals and organizations to take necessary precautions, demonstrating Saudi Arabia’s commitment to public safety and disaster risk reduction.

Vision 2030 Alignment

Accurate weather forecasting is integral to Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030, which aims to enhance quality of life, ensure public safety, and promote sustainable development. By providing reliable and timely meteorological data, the National Center for Meteorology supports key Vision 2030 objectives, including improving emergency preparedness, protecting vital infrastructure, and enabling economic activities such as tourism and maritime trade. As the Kingdom continues to invest in advanced technologies and smart systems, the NCM’s role in safeguarding lives and livelihoods will only grow, contributing to a resilient and prosperous future for all.

20 Questions

Q1. What does the National Center for Meteorology forecast for Thursday?

A1. The NCM forecasts rising temperatures in the Eastern Region, dust-stirring winds in Makkah, and potential thunderstorms in Najran, Jazan, Asir, and Al-Baha.

Q2. Which regions will experience rising temperatures?

A2. The Eastern Region, including parts of Riyadh and Qassim, will experience rising temperatures according to the NCM report.

Q3. Where are dust-stirring winds expected?

A3. Dust-stirring winds are expected in the Makkah region, particularly along the coastal road to Jazan.

Q4. What weather conditions are forecast for Najran, Jazan, Asir, and Al-Baha?

A4. Potential thunderstorms with strong winds are forecast for these regions, which may cause localized disruptions.

Q5. What are the surface wind speeds in the Red Sea?

A5. Surface winds in the Red Sea will be northeasterly to northwesterly at speeds of 15-30 km/h.

Q6. What are the surface wind speeds in the Arabian Gulf?

A6. Surface winds in the Arabian Gulf will be northwesterly to northerly at speeds of 15-30 km/h.

Q7. How does the NCM disseminate its forecasts?

A7. The NCM disseminates forecasts through official channels, including the Saudi Press Agency and its own digital platforms.

Q8. Why is the NCM’s forecast important for maritime activities?

A8. It provides crucial wind and weather data that help ensure the safety of vessels and crew in the Red Sea and Arabian Gulf.

Q9. What should residents in thunderstorm-affected areas do?

A9. Residents should stay indoors, avoid low-lying areas, and monitor updates from the NCM and local authorities.

Q10. How might the weather affect travel along the coastal road to Jazan?

A10. Dust-stirring winds may reduce visibility, requiring drivers to exercise caution and reduce speed.

Q11. What is the role of the NCM in Saudi Arabia?

A11. The NCM is the official authority for weather forecasting, providing critical data to protect lives and support economic sectors.

Q12. How does the forecast align with Vision 2030?

A12. It supports Vision 2030 by enhancing public safety, disaster preparedness, and sustainable development through accurate weather information.

Q13. What precautions should fishermen take?

A13. Fishermen should check the latest forecasts, ensure vessels are secure, and avoid venturing into rough seas.

Q14. Will the thunderstorms cause flash floods?

A14. There is a potential for flash floods in low-lying areas, so residents should remain vigilant and follow official advisories.

Q15. How often does the NCM issue weather reports?

A15. The NCM issues daily forecasts, with updates as conditions change, to keep the public informed.

Q16. What is the impact of high temperatures on energy consumption?

A16. High temperatures typically increase demand for cooling, leading to higher energy consumption.

Q17. Are there any health risks associated with the weather?

A17. Dust and heat can exacerbate respiratory and heat-related illnesses, so vulnerable individuals should take precautions.

Q18. How can the public access the NCM’s forecasts?

A18. Forecasts are available via the Saudi Press Agency, the NCM website, and official social media channels.

Q19. What wind patterns are expected in the Red Sea and Arabian Gulf?

A19. Northeasterly to northwesterly winds in the Red Sea and northwesterly to northerly winds in the Arabian Gulf, both at 15-30 km/h.

Q20. What is the overall message of the NCM’s forecast?

A20. The forecast urges caution and preparedness, highlighting the NCM’s commitment to public safety and accurate information.


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